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Kalshi Markets|PolyMarket Markets

Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?

Market Rules

If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves t...

Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?

Yes

81.5%

No

18.5%
Order Bookfor Before 2050

YES Orders

Price
Quantity
$1
1,001
$2
555
$3
277
$15
250
$42
600
$60
400
$61
100
$71
25
$73
1
$74
1,000
$75
80
$81
6

NO Orders

Price
Quantity
$2
2,000
$3
50
$4
1,050
$5
300
$6
800
$7
50
$14
498
$15
50
$18
1,007
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