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Kalshi Markets|PolyMarket Markets

Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?

Market Rules

If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves t...

Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?

Yes

79.0%

No

21.0%
Order Bookfor Before 2050

YES Orders

Price
Quantity
$1
668
$2
555
$3
888
$15
275
$16
100
$42
600
$60
425
$70
4,100
$71
100
$72
87
$73
1
$74
4,000
$75
293

NO Orders

Price
Quantity
$1
333
$2
2,000
$3
247
$4
383
$6
800
$12
4,000
$13
50
$14
498
$15
353
$16
4,000
$17
57
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